Iran will advance!

[webmaster]

3 points is a bare minimum, I actually think we will have many teams with 3+ points and better GD. we need to go for a win.

Correct. We will not qualify with 3 points I can bet if anyone is willing to take it.

[Keano]

If there are many 3 pointer teams, what is a tiebreaker? Goal aggregate?

[persian-eagle-13]

If there are many 3 pointer teams, what is a tiebreaker? Goal aggregate?

• Points earned across all three group matches
• Goal difference from all group matches
• Goals scored in all group matches
• Disciplinary record based on yellow and red cards picked up in the group stage (fewer cards is better)
• FIFA world ranking, used only as a final resort if teams cannot be separated any other way

[persian-eagle-13]

not looking good for iran. Ecuador is beating germany and has 4 points. Another 4 point team in 3rd place

[Iran_19]

not looking good for iran. Ecuador is beating germany and has 4 points. Another 4 point team in 3rd place

There are still 7 groups matches to be played!
Already Brazil and Mexico’s groups 3rd place will finish lower than Iran in case of draw vs Egypt!
we need only 2 out of 7 remaining groups with similar situation!

[Iran_19]

Hmm! Too many 4 points groups! Actually 3rd points may not be enough!

[persianballer]

I'd rather go for a win and lose, than park the bus against Egypt

[Ghormesabzi]

Not sure if I have calculated this correctly, but I think we still have a decent chance of qualifying with just a point despite the latest results not going our way.

We need 2 of the following scenarios to happen:

Iraq to not lose with more than 2 or 3 goals against Senegal.

Spain to win against Uruguay. A draw may be OK but will go down to goal difference.

Congo to not beat Uzbekistan.

Ghana to beat Croatia

Austria and Algeria to not end in a draw.

The result of the Senegal match might be a decisive moment in the approach we take against Egypt.

[persian-eagle-13]

Not sure if I have calculated this correctly, but I think we still have a decent chance of qualifying with just a point despite the latest results not going our way.

We need 2 of the following scenarios to happen:

Iraq to not lose with more than 2 or 3 goals against Senegal.

Spain to win against Uruguay. A draw may be OK but will go down to goal difference.

Congo to not beat Uzbekistan.

Ghana to beat Croatia

Austria and Algeria to not end in a draw.

The result of the Senegal match might be a decisive moment in the approach we take against Egypt.

3 points is not enough. you need a win at this point.

[Kavian]

As it stands today and before the games start on Friday, we have,

Four teams confirmed with 4 points and advancing to the next round.

1. Ecuador 4 PT / 0 GD
2. Sweden 4 PT / 0 GD
3. Bosina 4 PT / -1 GD
4. Paraguay 4 PT / -2 GD

Two confirmed with 3 points, both with negative GD which would need to wait other results.

1. S Korea 3 PT, -1 GD
2. Scotland 3 PT, -3 GD


AND ... from the remaining games,

We can potentially have two more 4 pointers, i.e. Ghana (assuming loss to Croatia) and Congo (assuming win over Uzbeks)

Other 3 pointer hopefuls are, Iran 3 PT, 0 GD, Cape Verde 3 PT, 0 GD, Senegal or Iraq 3 PT, -x GD, Uzbeks 3 PT, -x, Croatia potential loss to Ghana will leave them with 3 PT, and -x GD, I don't see Uruguay beating Spain, or Panama beating England or Algeria beating Austria.

SO, as you can see whether we end up with 1 or 2 additional 4 pointer team, the 3 pointer teams with 0 GD will have priority over the rest (there will be no positive GD among them), and the limited spots of 2 or 3 will be occupied by the 0 GD first.

Iran needs just a draw to go to next round as third placed team. If Iran wins against Egypt, it will end up either on top of the table or second and if it loses to Egypt, then all said here is just a waste of everyone's time, which I apologize for.

[Ghormesabzi]

Great job by Iraq! 0-1 and a man down after 15 minutes...

[OFFSIDE_1]

^ it's the curse of IR

[Omid177]

Iran won't advance! A team who can't even beat New Zealand won't go to the next round. They play the same bezan ziresh from 20 years ago, this is honestly very embarrassing due to the fact that Saudis and Uzbeks play better passes and have a better combination play overall.
TM's tactic: Rely on a defender's mistake from the opposite team.

The best result they can get is a 0-0.

[persian-eagle-13]

Iran won't advance! A team who can't even beat New Zealand won't go to the next round. They play the same bezan ziresh from 20 years ago, this is honestly very embarrassing due to the fact that Saudis and Uzbeks play better passes and have a better combination play overall.
TM's tactic: Rely on a defender's mistake from the opposite team.

The best result they can get is a 0-0.

that is why I say IRI has to win the game, not only for the points but also to show they deserve to be in next round. not mooft khori, with 3 ties. all other teams managed to get a win at least.

[Iran_19]

The chance qualifying with a draw getting
slimmer and slimmer
we need two of remaining groups to finish below iran(3 points with negative GD)
- it will be tough with ENG group
- Same as ARG
- Hopes are for POR and SPN groups but it is too risky!