Our Chances Calculated

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  1. #1
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    Our Chances Calculated

    I was bikar and calculated our chances for qualification based on our results against UAE and S.Korea as well as the results of other games, but first some points to mention:

    *Wins/loses are based on 1-0 scoreboard, and draws are 0-0 (I wasnt that bikar to calculate all combination of scoreboards)
    *In all cases I have assumed that we beat UAE (we better)
    *Based on FIFA on tie breakers, GD and GF both come before head to head result which is a good news.

    SO HERE IT GOES:
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    >Match day 1 Scenario (A): S.Korea wins Saudi, we win UAE, then:

    >Match day 2 Scenario (1): if Saudi wins N.Korea, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, we can even get the 2nd place by winning S.Korea

    >Match day 2 Scanario (2): if Saudi and N.Korea draw, again we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd, and we can get 2nd with a win

    >Match day 2 Scanario (3): if N.Korea wins Saudi, we get 3rd spot regardless of our result against S.Korea as long as we dont concede more than 2 goals. (This is the best case scenario)
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    >Match day 1 Scenario (B): S.Korea and Saudi draw, we win UAE, then:

    >Match day 2 Scenario (1): if Saudi wins N.Korea, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, no posibility to get 2nd

    >Match day 2 Scanario (2): if Saudi and N.Korea draw, we have to win S.Korea to get 2nd place, no possibility to get 3rd

    >Match day 2 Scanario (3): if N.Korea wins Saudi, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, no posibility to get 2nd
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    >Match day 1 Scenario (C): Saudi wins S.Korea, we win UAE, then:

    >Match day 2 Scenario (1): if Saudi wins N.Korea, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, no posibility to get 2nd

    >Match day 2 Scanario (2): if Saudi and N.Korea draw, we have to win S.Korea to get 3rd place, no possibility to get 2nd (This is worst case scenario)

    >Match day 2 Scanario (3): if N.Korea wins Saudi, again we have to win S.Korea to get 3rd place, no possibility to get 2nd (This is another worst case scenario)
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    my prediction is scenario (B)(2) in which we gonna need to win S.Korea which I highly doubt it, hope I'm wrong...
    Last edited by Taaj; 06-08-2009 at 08:30 PM.

  2. #2
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    eybaba in kararo yeki dige karde bood ke ghablan, che k*5 kholiam man

  3. #3
    Parham10
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    lol how long did it take you

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