I was bikar and calculated our chances for qualification based on our results against UAE and S.Korea as well as the results of other games, but first some points to mention:
*Wins/loses are based on 1-0 scoreboard, and draws are 0-0 (I wasnt that bikar to calculate all combination of scoreboards)
*In all cases I have assumed that we beat UAE (we better)
*Based on FIFA on tie breakers, GD and GF both come before head to head result which is a good news.
SO HERE IT GOES:
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>Match day 1 Scenario (A): S.Korea wins Saudi, we win UAE, then:
>Match day 2 Scenario (1): if Saudi wins N.Korea, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, we can even get the 2nd place by winning S.Korea
>Match day 2 Scanario (2): if Saudi and N.Korea draw, again we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd, and we can get 2nd with a win
>Match day 2 Scanario (3): if N.Korea wins Saudi, we get 3rd spot regardless of our result against S.Korea as long as we dont concede more than 2 goals. (This is the best case scenario)
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>Match day 1 Scenario (B): S.Korea and Saudi draw, we win UAE, then:
>Match day 2 Scenario (1): if Saudi wins N.Korea, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, no posibility to get 2nd
>Match day 2 Scanario (2): if Saudi and N.Korea draw, we have to win S.Korea to get 2nd place, no possibility to get 3rd
>Match day 2 Scanario (3): if N.Korea wins Saudi, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, no posibility to get 2nd
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>Match day 1 Scenario (C): Saudi wins S.Korea, we win UAE, then:
>Match day 2 Scenario (1): if Saudi wins N.Korea, we only need a draw against S.Korea to get 3rd place, no posibility to get 2nd
>Match day 2 Scanario (2): if Saudi and N.Korea draw, we have to win S.Korea to get 3rd place, no possibility to get 2nd (This is worst case scenario)
>Match day 2 Scanario (3): if N.Korea wins Saudi, again we have to win S.Korea to get 3rd place, no possibility to get 2nd (This is another worst case scenario)
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my prediction is scenario (B)(2) in which we gonna need to win S.Korea which I highly doubt it, hope I'm wrong...
Last edited by Taaj; 06-08-2009 at 08:30 PM.
eybaba in kararo yeki dige karde bood ke ghablan, che k*5 kholiam man
lol how long did it take you
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