Its too late for analysis, all we need is:

[NASA]

1. WIN the DAMN game in Azadi in IRAN, I don't care how and by how much......just WIN.
All analysis and prediction and probabilities can come later. Too many permutations and possibilities for now and most waist of time based on the irratic previous matches.
If we WIN on Wednesday regardless of SA VS SK result, We still can dictate our own destiny and have One week to acclimatize and plan for SK.
GO TM!

[FF187]

We still can dictate our own destiny and have One week to acclimatize and plan for SK.
GO TM!

No we cant even with a win against UAE there is a chance we wont make it if saudi win against SK and NK wins against Saudi!!! ITs actually not very improbable...

[Martin-Reza]

puh, what a relief there is no picture of male testicles in here, which might have been the case with this topic title...

Like "all we need is balls..."

Thank you

[NASA]

The only way this scenario holds water and you say its probable the following needs to happen:

IF we win our both matches with at least ONE goal we finish with +2 ahead of Saudi. Why you ask.

Because if Saudi Wind their Next Match and Lose their next, They need to Beat South Korea by at least 2+ Goals and We need to win our next 2 Match by nothing more than ONE Goal Margin.

I don't think SK will get humiliated in front of their crowd by a margin more than one goal. Secondly is not like Saudi can through away the Last match. Because then they need to go through play-off which I think they are smarter than that.

But thank you for your pessimistic view anyways.

[shayan_esteghlali]

No we cant even with a win against UAE there is a chance we wont make it if saudi win against SK and NK wins against Saudi!!! ITs actually not very improbable...

na baba if we win our games with good GD it doesnt matter the result

the table:
n. korea 11 +2
Saudi 10 0
Iran 7 0

now iran beats uae, and saudi beats korea

saudi 13 more than one goal difference
N.korea 11 +2
Iran 10 more than one goal difference

now iran beats korea and n.korea beats saudi

N.korea 14 more than 2 goal difference
Iran 13 more than 2 goal difference
Saudi 13 -/+ goal difference

since in wat u said saudi wins against korea probably with a small goal difference, then they lose to the other korea with a small goal difference, they will probably either have -1, 0, or +1 goal difference, and since if iran wins both games we will have minimum +2 goal difference i think we have the third spot in our hands if we win both games

[FF187]

na baba if we win our games with good GD it doesnt matter the result
the table:
n. korea 11 +2
Saudi 10 0
Iran 7 0
now iran beats uae, and saudi beats korea
saudi 13 more than one goal difference
N.korea 11 +2
Iran 10 more than one goal difference
now iran beats korea and n.korea beats saudi
N.korea 14 more than 2 goal difference
Iran 13 more than 2 goal difference
Saudi 13 -/+ goal difference
since in wat u said saudi wins against korea probably with a small goal difference, then they lose to the other korea with a small goal difference, they will probably either have -1, 0, or +1 goal difference, and since if iran wins both games we will have minimum +2 goal difference i think we have the third spot in our hands if we win both games

Nice listing dude thanks for clearing me up so if we win the next two we should be like 99% at least in the play offs?! But only if nk and saudi draw we have a chance to make it second or lets say if saudi looses to sk and wins agains nk we even can get second so we should really pray we win uae and saudi looses to sk than it willl be freaking exiting next weekend right?